Debt

Why The Fed’s Monetary Policy is Failing

<h2><a href="http://www.professorhollybell.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/ID-100165710.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-2622" alt="Debt" src="http://www.professorhollybell.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/ID-100165710-300x199.jpg" width="300" height="199" /></a>"There are studies that indicate that economic growth slows when public and private debt exceeds 260% to 275% of GDP. The U.S. hit the 260% level in 2000."</h2> <p>A recent paper by Hoisington Investment Management Company (<a href="http://www.hoisingtonmgt.com/pdf/HIM2013Q3NP.pdf" target="_blank">available here</a>) does an excellent job describing why the Federal Reserve is, and will continue to be, unsuccessful in its efforts to engineer economic growth by devaluing the U.S currency and attempting to increase inflation through persistent “Quantitative Easing”. They cite four factors:</p> <p>1)    <b>The Fed’s Forecast</b>: If the Fed’s forecasts were consistently right, we could have confidence that their actions might positively impact the economy. However, their forecasts for GDP and inflation have been “consistently above the actual outcomes”. They assume higher stock prices will lead to more spending because people feel wealthier if their portfolio is rising. This “wealth effect” has not occurred,

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How YOU Can Fix The Economy

<a href="http://www.professorhollybell.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/203668u9t40fhwp.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-113" title="Solutions" src="http://www.professorhollybell.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/203668u9t40fhwp-150x150.jpg" alt="economy"width="150" height="150" /></a>By Holly A. Bell Many years ago I asked my now nearly 90-year-old grandmother when the wisdom of age sets in and we start to feel in control of our lives. She made one of those “Ha!” noises and said she still felt like she was in her 20s, can’t figure out how she got to this point in her life, and would let me know when she felt like she was in control. I’m still waiting. Now that I’m firmly ensconced in middle age, I’ve started to understand a few things including why people have face-lifts and the importance of calcium. I’ve also sharpened my perception of what it means to be in control of one’s life and the power we have as individuals within an <i>economy</i>. Unfortunately the design and assumptions used in our  modeling of the <u>economy</u> attempt to minimize

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